With former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. and Senator Elizabeth Warren jockeying for the top spot in the Democratic presidential race, we decided to take a look at another candidate who’s been quietly climbing out of the lower rung: Pete Buttigieg. Are there signs that he could grow into […] Read more »
Who’s Ahead in the Hawkeye State?
This week, we look at where the Democrats rank in Iowa with about 100 days to go until the caucuses. Then we dive into a new CNN poll, and break down where the country stands on Syria, impeachment and the 2020 election. Finally, we discuss why top Republicans are beginning […] Read more »
Little Reason to Think Republicans Will Abandon Trump Now
Despite the saying—usually misattributed to Albert Einstein—that “insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results,” it is a bit rash to declare crazy those who for three years have regularly predicted that the latest controversy or transgression would drive congressional Republicans to finally turn […] Read more »
The Path to 270 in 2020
The election of President Donald Trump in 2016 defied many normal rules of presidential political strategy and electoral analysis. … The big question heading into 2020 is whether President Trump and Republicans can repeat this success. Is there a strong and growing Trump coalition that can replicate his successes with […] Read more »
Can Warren Beat Trump?
Chat with almost any political professional in and around Washington, and you find something of a consensus building on the following: 1. Elizabeth Warren is going to be the nominee.2. She’s going to have a hard time beating Trump. Last week, I spent time looking at the first point. Today, […] Read more »
Poll: Biden has a big lead. Another poll: Warren does. What’s going on?
On Wednesday morning, CNN published a new poll evaluating the state of the Democratic presidential primary fight. Former vice president Joe Biden had surged back into a healthy lead, enjoying a double-digit margin over Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who are jockeying for second. That was important […] Read more »