… In every contested Democratic nomination race in this century, the winner of the Iowa caucuses has eventually won the nomination. That’s a measure of how much momentum candidates can earn, especially in this era of pervasive news coverage, from winning that kickoff contest. Conscious of that history, the leading […] Read more »
What Should Senate Republicans Do About Impeachment?
What is the savviest political strategy on impeachment for Republicans in the Senate? In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew tries to answer that question in a new edition of FiveThirtyEight Debate. Each member of the team was assigned a position and then tried to poke holes […] Read more »
The Trump Campaign Is Seeking ‘Hidden’ Women Voters. Impeachment Won’t Help.
Lara Trump thinks that her father-in-law, President Trump, could use some extra support at this particular stage of his presidency. So along with Karen Pence, the second lady, Ms. Trump traveled to this (slimly) blue state with a message for women who support him: Don’t be afraid to speak up […] Read more »
Trump’s madness is not enough to doom him in 2020
… Yes, the public seems ready to throw Trump out of office. But will Democrats make that easy or hard? A report released last week by the Center for American Progress sheds important light on the party’s choices. One of its key findings will cheer Trump’s foes: If every demographic […] Read more »
Do Democratic voters really want another candidate?
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver looks at what polling says about how voters may respond to new candidates entering the 2020 Democratic race. This Week, ABC News Read more »
Impeachment isn’t popular in Wisconsin and these 5 other key swing states
… A look at the national polls indicate that impeaching and removing Trump from office is at, a minimum, a plurality position. Our CNN/SSRS poll out this week showed that 51% of voters nationwide support impeaching and removing from office compared to 44% who disagreed. The average has the split […] Read more »