Just over three months before Iowans caucus for Democratic presidential candidates, four polls out this week present a muddled picture of a primary race that is unfolding in varying, and sometimes conflicting, ways nationally and in early-voting states. A pair of new national polls present starkly different results. A CNN […] Read more »
Trump Has No Room for Error in 2020
The risk in Donald Trump’s base-first electoral strategy is only rising—because the size of his base is shrinking. Working-class whites are on track to continue declining as a share of eligible voters in 2020, according to a study released today by the liberal think tank Center for American Progress. In […] Read more »
The Trade War’s Risks for Trump
President Donald Trump has taken a hard line on trade. He’s imposed tariffs on steel, aluminum, and on a wide variety of Chinese products. In response, China has slapped tariffs on American products. If Trump’s trade strategy poses risks for the economy, it also poses risks for his reelection strategy. […] Read more »
Democrats may come to regret choosing impeachment over independents
Put yourself, for a moment, in the shoes of average independent American voters in fly-over country where next year’s election is likely to be decided. Many, if not most, are probably feeling trapped by what amounts to a constant barrage of white noise coming out of Washington these days. Ukraine. […] Read more »
Who’s the most electable Democrat? It might be Warren or Buttigieg, not Biden.
The biggest issue in the Democratic presidential primary isn’t health care or immigration or gun control. It’s electability. A strong majority of Democratic voters report that it’s more important that the party nominate a candidate who can beat President Trump than someone they agree with on the issues. … So […] Read more »
CNN Poll: Biden’s lead in Democratic primary hits widest margin since April
Former Vice President Joe Biden’s lead in the race for the Democratic nomination for president has rebounded, and now stands at its widest margin since April, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. Biden has the support of 34% of Democratic and Democratic-leaning registered voters, his best showing […] Read more »