Few questions may shape the result of the 2020 election more than whether Democrats can exploit the religious gap in attitudes toward President Donald Trump that has emerged among his core constituency of working-class white voters. While polls generally show Trump retaining strong support overall among blue-collar whites, more detailed […] Read more »
Trump trails Democratic rivals in national survey as independents move away
One year out from the 2020 election, President Trump trails some potential Democratic rivals in head-to-head matchups, with his national support level currently fixed at about 40 percent, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll. The new poll highlights the degree to which most of the country already has made […] Read more »
A year from Election Day, Democratic presidential contenders extend leads over Donald Trump
A year before the nation votes, top Democratic contenders have extended their leads over President Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential race, with broad public concerns about the president’s leadership in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll. CONT. Gary Langer, ABC News Read more »
The Times’ Nate Cohn on Elizabeth Warren’s Odds Against Donald Trump
On Monday, the New York Times and Siena College released a poll of how Donald Trump is faring against three leading Democratic Presidential opponents—Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren—in six critical swing states, all of which Trump won in 2016. The results contain bad news for Warren, despite her […] Read more »
It’s A Free-For-All In Iowa
Tomorrow is Election Day, and FiveThirtyEight will be watching competitive races in a number of states. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the governors races in Kentucky and Mississippi and state legislative elections in Virginia. Next, the team takes a look at the latest in […] Read more »
Biden holds significant lead over Warren, Sanders in Nevada; top issue is electing someone who can beat Trump
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a 10 point lead over Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders among likely Democratic presidential caucusgoers in Nevada, buoyed by an intense focus on electing a candidate who can beat President Donald Trump, according to a new poll by The Nevada […] Read more »