On Monday, the New York Times and Siena College released a poll of how Donald Trump is faring against three leading Democratic Presidential opponents—Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren—in six critical swing states, all of which Trump won in 2016. The results contain bad news for Warren, despite her strong showing with Democratic-primary voters in Iowa; against President Trump, she performs worse than Biden or Sanders, with Trump leading or tied in five of six swing states. … Cohn also noted that the poll suggests that Trump may have a greater advantage in the Electoral College in 2020 than he did in 2016, suggesting that the President could again win the election while losing the popular vote.
For further insight into the results, I recently spoke by phone with Cohn. CONT.
Isaac Chotiner, New Yorker