The 7 Ways Impeachment Could Shape The 2020 Election

It’s November. That means your seasonal depression is settling in for the long haul, the 2020 election is a year away, and the Congressional Democrats are taking the impeachment inquiry into its next, very public phase. This week, some transcripts of formerly closed-door testimony were made public, and televised hearings […] Read more »

Trump vs. ?? — Swing State Edition

This week, we discuss head-to-head match-ups between President Trump and top Democratic candidates in key swing states. Then we dissect Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s Medicare-for-all plan, and the polling around Medicare-for-all. Finally, we look at new caucus polling out of Iowa and Nevada, and examine a few results from Election Day […] Read more »

Nonvoters Are a Source of Hope for Democrats. But Maybe a False Hope.

… For Democrats, nonvoters have long been a source of hope. They are disproportionately young, nonwhite and low-income, demographics that favor the party. In this year’s Democratic primary, turning nonvoters into voters would seem to offer a path to victory for candidates who might seek to win the general election […] Read more »

Polling in Four Former ‘Blue Wall’ States Finds President Trump Is Voters’ Biggest Motivator

A year ahead of the 2020 presidential election, President Trump is the biggest defining factor for voters in Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin – more often in a negative than a positive direction, finds a new partnership survey from KFF and The Cook Political Report of more than 3,000 voters […] Read more »