News that former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg will be filing petitions to meet the November 8th filing deadline for the Democratic presidential primary in Alabama shook the political world last night, sparking many different reactions. CONT. Charlie Cook Read more »
Democrats in Battleground States Prefer Moderate Nominee
Democrats in the country’s most pivotal general election battlegrounds prefer a moderate presidential nominee who would seek common ground with Republicans rather than pursue an ambitious, progressive agenda, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll of primary voters across six states. … While Democrats have unambiguously moved to the […] Read more »
Recent Polls Show Trump’s Support Is Flagging in the Suburbs — and Beyond
From governors’ houses to state assemblies, many Republican incumbents lost their seats on Tuesday — largely thanks to suburban Republican voters disillusioned with President Trump. Since Mr. Trump’s rise in 2016, Republicans have seen their support slip in affluent suburbs such as those around Philadelphia and the Virginia counties near […] Read more »
Michael Bloomberg, the ultimate data guy, is ignoring the data
In laying the groundwork for a presidential run, Michael Bloomberg will have to do something he rarely does: ignore the data. At his company, ideas — even stories — aren’t greenlit without data to support them. If Bloomberg does run, he’ll be flying in the face of the internal polling […] Read more »
Sorry, Wisconsin, the Presidential Election Could be a Blowout
Since November 9, 2016, Democrats and pundits have contemplated the path back to Presidential victory in 2020: is it winning back white “working class” voters in the upper Midwestern states of Wisconsin & Michigan, or is it a candidate & platform that people of color actually want to vote for? […] Read more »
Unpacking a Panoply of Polls
It’s hard to determine where to start a political discussion these days. Impeachment? The Democratic presidential-nomination contest? President Trump’s prospects for reelection? The calendar can help guide us, as can a slew of new and highly regarded polls, which touch on all three of those storylines. Sunday marked the point […] Read more »