Key Points • Virginia moves from Leans Democratic to Likely Democratic in our Electoral College ratings in the wake of a fourth straight November that has broken in the Democrats’ favor. • Gov. Matt Bevin’s (R) apparent loss in Kentucky is more of a personal repudiation of him than a […] Read more »
Democrats extend their dominance of the suburbs, with an eye to 2020
New flashes of Democratic electoral strength Tuesday from the outskirts of Memphis, Cincinnati and Philadelphia to the neighborhoods of Northern Virginia marked an advancement of the party’s dominance across America’s fast-changing suburbs. The results underscored the profound electoral realignment that has been unfolding since President Trump’s ascent upended the nation’s […] Read more »
Democrats wanted fairer primaries. But their calendar still prioritizes white liberals.
… It’s almost impossible to design a state-by-state primary process that gives equal weight to every Democratic Party constituency through a process everyone agrees is fair; the party’s coalition is too big and fractious for that. But rather than treating their calendar like something that’s been imposed upon them, Democrats […] Read more »
The Suburban Backlash Against the GOP Is Growing
The shift of metro areas away from the Republican Party under President Donald Trump rumbled on in yesterday’s elections, threatening the fundamental calculation of his 2020 reelection plan. Amid all the various local factors that shaped GOP losses—from Kentucky to Virginia, from suburban Philadelphia to Wichita, Kansas—the clearest pattern was […] Read more »
Trump and Republicans have a suburban problem
President Donald Trump’s Republican Party has a suburban problem, and it’s not clear that they know what to do about it. As urban areas become more Democratic leaning and rural areas move to the right, the suburbs are likely going to be where the 2020 election is decided. Tuesday’s elections […] Read more »
Suburban revolt boosts Democrats on Election Day in the age of Trump
The revenge of the suburbs continues in the age of President Donald Trump. On yet another Election Day, the president’s disruptive style and conservative policy pushes brought a clearly identifiable backlash. … The results serve as a counterweight to the unquestioned popularity of Trump inside a large swatch of his […] Read more »