Lurching Towards Normalization: America is still in limbo as the reopening progresses

… Around 66% of adults have received at least one dose of the vaccine, according to our Axios-Ipsos Coronavirus Index. COVID is on the downswing. However, let’s not forget that vaccinations are reaching a saturation point. Most adults who want a vaccine have received one by now. We are still […] Read more »

Split Decision: An analysis of the 2020 presidential election

… The central strategic interaction for this election was between a better political and ideological environment in 2020 than 2016 for Republicans versus Biden’s strategy of focusing on personal qualities, given that his favorables were over 50% and Trump’s unfavorables were over 50%. This produced a slim 51% majority vote […] Read more »

New Democratic focus groups find many voters aren’t sure what the party stands for

New focus groups conducted by a prominent Democratic pollster warn that many voters “have trouble describing a clear positive vision of what the Democratic Party stands for.” The study of swing voters and liberal “surge” voters in competitive districts, led by Celinda Lake of Lake Research Partners and requested by […] Read more »

The dangerous GOP voting laws change who counts the votes

The Republican efforts to change voting laws around the country after Donald Trump’s 2020 loss are often all lumped together as one push. And while they almost all seek to ameliorate fear of widespread fraud that no one has proven exists, the modifications sought actually fall into two distinct groups. […] Read more »

Democratic Report Raises 2022 Alarms on Messaging and Voter Outreach

Democrats defeated President Donald J. Trump and captured the Senate last year with a racially diverse coalition that delivered victories by tiny margins in key states like Georgia, Arizona and Wisconsin. In the next election, they cannot count on repeating that feat, a new report warns. A review of the […] Read more »