… While the coronavirus has tossed the mechanics of politicking in flux for the foreseeable future, leaders in both parties and officials with President Donald Trump and Joe Biden’s campaigns are surveying a relatively stable political battlefield that will be concentrated largely in just about a half dozen states: the […] Read more »
Trump needs two electoral blocs to win. The pandemic is driving a wedge between them.
President Trump has a math problem. Given his strategy to govern mostly for his base, Trump must walk an electoral tightrope to win in November. He cannot afford to lose voters motivated by economic issues. He also cannot afford to lose seniors, who supported him in 2016 by a nine-point […] Read more »
Six months from the election, six states are poised to decide Trump-Biden race
In six months, voters go to the polls — unless they’ve mailed in their ballot — to pick a president. It’s a national exercise that, practically speaking, consists of separate contests in 50 states and the District of Columbia. … Not every state is competitive. Some will vote for President […] Read more »
How Trump has broken the polls
… The polls clearly show that Biden is ahead and by a larger margin than Hillary Clinton was on the eve of the 2016 election. You might think that would make people believe that Biden is more likely to win, even if it were far from a certainty. Yet, the […] Read more »
Is the Senate in play in 2020?
538’s Nate Silver on whether or not he thinks the Senate is in play in the 2020 election. This Week, ABC News Read more »
Elizabeth Warren tops Democrats’ wish list for Biden’s vice president
Economic expertise and crisis management skills are top qualities Democratic voters want to see in a vice-presidential pick for their party — even more so than executive or legislative experience — as concerns about the pandemic and the economy now become a lens through which voters see that selection process. […] Read more »