Nate Silver discusses whether or not Trump’s chances of reelection are increasing. This Week, ABC News Read more »
More Than 550,000 Primary Absentee Ballots Rejected In 2020, Far Outpacing 2016
An extraordinarily high number of ballots — more than 550,000 — have been rejected in this year’s presidential primaries, according to a new analysis by NPR. That’s far more than the 318,728 ballots rejected in the 2016 general election and has raised alarms about what might happen in November when […] Read more »
A Virtual Democratic Convention
This week, Joe Biden officially became the Democratic nominee for president in the first-ever virtual convention. While there were no crowds, handshakes, or applause to demonstrate excitement, the new format allowed for Americans across the country to participate. … Maya King from Politico, Astead Herndon from The New York Times, […] Read more »
Trump is leading Republicans to an unwanted record in the popular vote
American elections tend to swing on a pendulum. No one party usually holds power for too long. Since 1952, for example, only once has a party won the presidency three elections in a row. Yet, partially through a little bit of bad luck and two electoral college-popular vote splits, the […] Read more »
The election forecast wars are here. Here’s how to navigate them.
… Mathematical election predictions can seem both tantalizing and frustratingly opaque. People want to know what will happen, especially in an election as consequential as this one, but they often don’t understand how the people who build these predictive tools reach their conclusions. They may be dazzled by the presentation […] Read more »
Is the ‘Convention Bounce’ a Thing of the Past?
A national political convention gives presidential candidates their first major opportunity of the campaign to connect with a national audience, reaching viewers by the millions and kicking off the race’s climactic final leg. Until recently, it also usually meant the candidate would get a bump in the polls — like […] Read more »