President Trump seems to think that race and policing are phenomenal, fantastic, amazing issues for him — but many people are now saying the opposite. Half of Americans are uneasy about Trump’s ability to deal with crime; 61 percent say that Trump’s handling of the protests against police brutality and […] Read more »
Economic Perceptions and the Election
The economy has been a major factor in determining the outcome of presidential elections throughout U.S. history. That will clearly continue to be the case in this 2020 presidential election cycle, although I certainly think there are unusual factors challenging the economy for salience in voters’ minds this year. Additionally, […] Read more »
Biden leads Trump by double digits, but more Americans trust Trump on economy despite historic recession
Former Vice President Joe Biden is holding onto his lead over President Donald Trump with less than two months until the November election, according to the latest PBS NewsHour/NPR/Marist poll. But Trump retains some important advantages, like more Americans believing he is the better candidate to lead the economy, which […] Read more »
Virus Pulls Down Trump, Poll Shows, and G.O.P. Senators Suffer With Him
President Trump’s mismanagement of the coronavirus pandemic has imperiled both his own re-election and his party’s majority in the Senate, and Republican lawmakers in crucial states like Arizona, North Carolina and Maine have fallen behind their Democratic challengers amid broad disapproval of the president, according to a poll conducted by […] Read more »
Trump, Biden Favorable Ratings Both Below 50%
Heading into presidential debate season, former Vice President Joe Biden edges out President Donald Trump in favorability ratings from the American people, 46% to 41%, while the candidates’ running mates are roughly tied in favorability. Sen. Kamala Harris, running for vice president on the Democratic ticket, is viewed favorably by […] Read more »
PollerCoaster2020: Biden Is Winning, Here’s How to Pad His Lead
The story of the 2020 election is often told through the perspective of three groups: Obama-Trump voters, suburban voters that have soured on Trump, and die-hard Trump supporters who frequent diners visited by New York Times political reporters. Don’t get me wrong, at least two of these groups are critical. […] Read more »