In 2016 and 2018, many analysts concluded that Supreme Court politics helped Republicans by helping to energize or consolidate conservative voters. True or not, it certainly wasn’t obvious ahead of time which side would benefit from a court vacancy, and the same can be said today, in the aftermath of […] Read more »
Where polling stands as the Supreme Court vaults into the top tier of campaign issues
One of the more remarkable findings in the exit polls conducted after the 2016 election was the wide partisan gap in how motivated people felt by Supreme Court nominations in deciding who to support. A fifth of voters said court nominations were the most important factor in their vote — […] Read more »
This Is How Biden Should Approach the Latino Vote
… There’s a winning message Mr. Biden and his party can deliver that resonates with most Hispanics no matter how they conceptualize the group’s racial identity. The key is to link racism and class conflict. The pivot we recommend was also the most convincing message we tested among whites and […] Read more »
Biden Maintains Lead Over Trump With Likely Voters
Former Vice President Joe Biden continues to lead President Trump in the 2020 presidential election nationally by a substantial margin, according to the latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll. Biden leads Trump by 9 points, 52% to 43%, among likely voters, the survey finds. CONT. Domenico Montanaro, NPR News Read more »
What Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s Death Could Mean For 2020 And The Supreme Court
Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg passed away on Friday night — a pivotal moment in the history of the nation’s highest court. Ginsburg’s death is one of the biggest developments yet in 2020, a year that has already included the impeachment of the sitting president, a deadly virus killing […] Read more »
For More Voters Than Ever, It’s the Party, Not the Person
“I vote the person, not the party,” goes the old saying. And while many may still say that, in practice few do. Drew DeSilver at the incomparable Pew Research Center this month updated a great report from two years ago on voting patterns for U.S. Senate and the presidency. The […] Read more »