Court Vacancy Injects New Uncertainty Into Rancorous Election Battle

The death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has put enormous new pressure on the two candidates in a presidential race already roiled by a global pandemic and a summer of civil unrest, raising the prospect of a contentious Senate confirmation battle waged side by side with the campaign. The skirmishing […] Read more »

Voters split on confirming a new Supreme Court justice before Inauguration Day

… A YouGov snap poll of 1,200 registered voters conducted Saturday indicates that about half of registered voters (51%) do not believe President Trump should appoint a new Supreme Court justice before the presidential inauguration in January 2021. If President Trump does appoint someone—as he has indicated he will—voters are […] Read more »

Ginsburg’s death crystallizes the choice in November as no other issue can

In a year that has included impeachment, a global pandemic, economic turmoil and a reckoning on race, the death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg crystallizes the choice in November as perhaps none of the other issues can. … Ginsburg’s death changes the calculus for the campaign between President […] Read more »

How A Supreme Court Vacancy Will Shape The Election

In this emergency installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s passing and how the political fight around the new vacancy on the court might unfold. FiveThirtyEight The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s […] Read more »

Unlike 2016, polling this year suggests Democrats more motivated by Supreme Court than Republicans

The death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has the ability to upend the 2020 presidential election. But while most analysis suggests President Donald Trump was helped by the opportunity to appoint a new justice in the 2016 election, polling this time around suggests something different may be in […] Read more »