Joe Biden did a better job in the final debate on Thursday according to a CNN Instant Poll of debate watchers. Overall, 53% of voters who watched the debate said that Biden won the matchup, while 39% said that President Donald Trump did. Viewers once again said that Biden’s criticisms […] Read more »
Undecided voters assess final Trump-Biden debate
Frank Luntz, a Republican polling expert, convened undecided voters from swing states to watch and respond to the second and final presidential debate, held Oct. 22 in Nashville. … Along with Luntz, The Times asked Nicholas Goldberg, associate editor and Op-Ed columnist, to ask questions of the focus group and […] Read more »
What if Beating Trump Is the Easy Part?
In the short term, should Joe Biden win the election and move into the White House, he would take office with a Democratic Party unified in its opposition to all things Trump. The question is how long would that last before leaders of every liberal interest group circling the new […] Read more »
What Republican internal polling can actually tell us
Former Vice President Joe Biden has held a steadfast lead in high quality nonpartisan public polling. Still, some conservatives and President Donald Trump claim the polls are off. Trump himself has said he is up in key swing states. There’s no reason to believe Trump. An examination of publicly released […] Read more »
The Relentless Shrinking of Trump’s Base
In 2016, Donald J. Trump confounded the polls in part by generating an unanticipated level of enthusiasm and turnout from a group that had grown increasingly apathetic about elections: white voters without college degrees. But in 2020, Mr. Trump and Joseph R. Biden Jr. face a drastically changed electorate. The […] Read more »
Candidate Favorable Ratings Up Over 2016, but Still Low
Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump 54% to 47% in Gallup’s historical “scalometer” measure of candidate favorability. Trump’s 2020 rating on the zero to 10 scale is better than the all-time low 36% he received in 2016, and Biden’s rating exceeds Hillary Clinton’s 47% that year. Nevertheless, […] Read more »