The Trump era has forced many Republicans into frustrating situations: defending unhinged tweets, coddling a president as if he’s a toddler and forcing principled conservatives to choose between the most progressive Democratic candidacy in modern history or, well, President Trump. But Trump may have put Sen. Martha McSally (R-Ariz.) in […] Read more »
What Do Polls Say About the Issues on the Agenda for Tonight’s Debate?
… The Commission on Presidential Debates announced this week that it had changed the ground rules, saying it will mute each candidate’s microphone for parts of the debate. So maybe — just maybe — this debate will provide a more meaningful opportunity to hear where each candidate comes down on […] Read more »
Where The Presidential Race Stands Before The Last Debate
… As President Trump and Joe Biden prepare to take the stage tonight for the final presidential debate, Trump has just a 12 in 100 chance of winning the presidency, while Biden has an 88 in 100 chance, according to our presidential forecast. And according to national polls, Biden leads […] Read more »
56% of Voters Say Trump Does Not Deserve Reelection
The majority of U.S. registered voters, 56%, believe President Donald Trump does not deserve to be reelected, while 43% say he does. Voters are even less likely to think “most members of Congress” deserve reelection (29%), although six in 10 say their own House member does. CONT. Justin McCarthy, Gallup […] Read more »
Want to see how the landscape is shaping up on election night? Look to North Carolina
There are a number of states that could prove to be pivotal in the presidential election. Likewise, there are a number of states that could prove to be pivotal in the fight for Senate control. There are, however, few states that could be informative of the ultimate outcome for both. […] Read more »
Can Trump Win? Yes. But the Path Is Narrow and Difficult.
… The clearest road for Mr. Trump is to hold one of the three states he snatched from Democrats in 2016 — Pennsylvania, Michigan or Wisconsin — as well as the rest of his winning electoral map, including Arizona and Florida, where Mr. Biden is now competitive. Polls indicate that […] Read more »