Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) seemed invincible for the past 2½ decades. … But in 2020, Collins looks deeply vulnerable for reasons that say a great deal about how her party, and American voters as a whole, are changing. … Two trends have damaged Collins. In the short term, the decline […] Read more »
Beaver County, Miami-Dade tight for Trump days before election
As the 2020 campaign nears the final turn, journalists and analysts will be watching some places, like those that seem more likely to swing or hold important demographic groups, more closely than others for clues on how the vote may be unfolding. This week the Data Download takes a deep […] Read more »
Closing The Campaign
It is still critical to be on the offensive getting soft Republican and anti-systemic voters to break for Joe, votes to break for Biden or not go cast that vote for Biden. These weekend recommendations are based on the dial meter and pre-post survey we conducted for the AFT and […] Read more »
The Election May Hinge on Pennsylvania. Can the Polls Get the State Right?
If President Trump pulls off a come-from-behind victory on Nov. 3, it’s likely to run through Pennsylvania — one of the three Midwestern states he won by less than one percentage point in 2016, and arguably the one that’s still within range for him. Joseph R. Biden Jr., the Democratic […] Read more »
9 days to go: Biden’s lead over Trump is holding, while Clinton’s was collapsing at this point
The clock is running out on President Donald Trump’s chances for a comeback. He continues to trail former Vice President Joe Biden nationally and in the key swing states with just nine days to go. But perhaps most worrisome for the President: Trump’s clearly behind his 2016 pace. By this […] Read more »
CBS News/BET Poll: Black voters motivated, but concerned about votes counting
Black voters are motivated and engaged in this election, but fewer than half are very confident their vote will be counted correctly, and more than half express some concern about potential voter intimidation at the polls. Black voters are an essential part of the Democratic Party’s coalition, and they are […] Read more »