Likely voters who live in 69 battleground House districts across the country narrowly prefer Democratic candidates, according to a new Washington Post-Schar School survey, a potentially worrying sign for Republicans given that the overwhelming percentage of these districts are currently in GOP hands. With just a month to the midterm […] Read more »
Democratic voters face off against gerrymandered districts
Democrats are hopeful about possibly retaking the House of Representatives next month, but to do that they are going to have to overcome an inherent disadvantage in many states due to gerrymandering. Every 10 years, the states redraw the lines of their congressional districts to reflect population changes in the […] Read more »
Democrats’ advantage in recent polls may not bring the ‘blue wave’ they’re hoping for
Polls this year show that Democratic voters have become “energized” enough to swing control of at least one branch of Congress in the coming midterm election. But data from past midterm “waves” suggest that Democrats could be headed for a disappointing November. CONT. John W. Schoen, CNBC Read more »
Battle for the House Has a Wide Range of Possible Outcomes
The size of the Democratic advantage in the fight for control of the House is unclear with a month until the midterm elections, and there are recent signs Republicans might have improved their position, possibly because of the fight over Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the Supreme Court. … High-quality national, […] Read more »
Senate races: GOP up in Texas, Tennessee; Dems up in Arizona, New Jersey
The battle for Senate control finds Democrats trying to mount upset challenges in a string of typically Republican states, and this round of Battleground Tracker polls shows them having at best mixed results so far. … By more than two to one, registered voters say national issues outweigh local ones, […] Read more »
Senate races move right, House races move left in political fallout from Kavanaugh confirmation fight
The nomination fight over Judge Brett M. Kavanaugh has injected new volatility into the midterm elections, reshaping races across the country and sharpening the already bitterly partisan tone for the final four-week stretch before Nov. 6. Much uncertainty remains — not least because of the rapid-fire succession of evolving crises […] Read more »