The confirmation battle over the nomination of Judge Brett M. Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court has left the country as it was before President Trump selected him: deeply divided, politically polarized and with many people hostile toward those of opposing views. But that hardly means everything has reverted to the […] Read more »
Trust the polls: Heidi Heitkamp is in trouble
… Democrats need a net gain of 2 seats to take back the Senate in November. While Democrats hold small leads in the currently Republican-held seats in Arizona and Nevada, a loss in North Dakota would leave them with a net gain of only 1 seat. … Perhaps because of […] Read more »
What Nate Silver’s Worried About
On this week’s episode of my podcast, I Have to Ask, I spoke to Nate Silver, the election forecaster and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.com. Below is an edited excerpt from the show. In it, we discuss how the fight over Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination might impact November’s election, the ups […] Read more »
Poll Hub: The Impact of Brett Kavanaugh’s Confirmation Hearings on the 2018 Midterm Elections
The NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll has been closely tracking Americans’ opinions of the testimonies of Judge Brett Kavanaugh and Dr. Christine Blasey Ford. But, beyond the sexual harassment allegations and the FBI investigation, are there implications for the midterm elections? CONT. Marist Poll Read more »
How Kavanaugh Could Boost Turnout
It’s hard to have a conversation about politics in recent weeks without it quickly turning to President Trump’s nomination of federal Appeals Court Judge Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court. … People ask, “What impact do you think the Kavanaugh nomination will have on the midterm elections?” My […] Read more »
California: Democrats well positioned to capture a number of GOP-held congressional seats
A new Berkeley IGS Poll of over 5,000 likely voters in eight congressional districts in California finds Democratic candidates well positioned to capture a number of GOP-held seats considered by neutral observers to begin play in this year’s congressional elections. According to the poll, the Democrats hold a significant lead […] Read more »