It turns out that the bitter fight over Brett Kavanaugh’s Supreme Court nomination was what I call a color-enhancement event—it made the reds redder and the blues bluer. The old cliché about partisans coming home before an election is true, but the reality for Democrats was that this time, they […] Read more »
Oregon Governor: A Blue State Lands in Toss Up
Oregon is a reliably blue state, at least when it comes to races for President, Governor and the U.S. Senate. It’s surprising then that in a year in which the political landscape favors Democrats, the party is sweating the Governor’s race as Democratic Gov. Kate Brown seeks to win a […] Read more »
CNN poll: Cruz leads O’Rourke with three weeks to go
Texas Republican Sen. Ted Cruz appears well-positioned for re-election over his Democratic challenger Rep. Beto O’Rourke, topping him 52% to 45% among likely voters, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS finds. CONT. Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Read more »
Don’t expect a big Democratic wave this fall, a new CNBC poll says
With economic optimism soaring in the country, will Democrats be able to sweep to power in either house of Congress or will buoyant sentiment help Republicans keep hold of their Congressional majorities? The latest CNBC All-America Economic Survey offers mixed signals, but leans against a wave Democratic election like that […] Read more »
Here’s what should excite and depress Democrats so far in 2018
For two years Democrats have raged over Donald Trump’s presidency, quarreled among themselves over the best strategy for responding to it, and above all, counted the days until next month’s midterm election. The biggest political questions facing Democrats, needless to say, all remain to be decided on election night. But […] Read more »
Nate Silver will make one firm prediction about the midterms. Most journalists won’t want to hear it.
After the roller-coaster ride of 2016’s election night, have journalists and political junkies learned not to let conventional wisdom substitute for hard knowledge? Nate Silver — the closest thing there is to a celebrity in the arcane field of statistical journalism — is not wildly optimistic about that. CONT. Margaret […] Read more »