House Republicans are at risk of losing several of their members in the midterm elections who are more moderate on the issue of immigration. Immigration has re-emerged as part of the national conversation in recent weeks as lawmakers in Congress attempted to address the fate of those immigrants affected by […] Read more »
Riling Up the Base May Backfire on Trump
Political commentators and strategists write with some awe of President Trump’s outrageous, gutsy strategy of ginning up his base with one more attack on black athletes, one more crackdown on Central American mothers and children on the Mexican border, one more assault on Obamacare, one more tariff on imports. … […] Read more »
In Iowa, Republicans and Democrats fight for elusive independent voters, whoever they are
Abby Finkenauer says she’s running for Congress to represent hard-working Iowans who just want “enough money at the end of the week to send their kids to baseball and softball practice and buy a case of beer.” Rod Blum, the two-term Republican incumbent she hopes to unseat, is a self-made […] Read more »
‘Throw the bums out’ coalition changes shape in 2018
In every election there is always a group of disgruntled voters who want to “throw the bums out,” and poll numbers show they’re back in 2018. An examination of the data, however, suggests this year’s collection of angry voters looks different than it has in recent years – and it […] Read more »
They’re under 50%, but Democrats should feel good about their Senate chances in Pennsylvania
… The poll of the week: A new Franklin and Marshall poll that puts Democratic Sen. Bob Casey ahead of his Republican opponent Lou Barletta 44% to 27%. It’s the latest poll that has Casey with a double-digit lead over Barletta. … Barletta’s campaign put some interesting spin on the […] Read more »
Poll Hub: They’re at It, Again!
Perhaps, the great Yogi Berra said it best — It’s deja vu all over again! The lack of distinction between public opinion polls and forecasters in 2016 created a false aura of inevitability around Hillary Clinton. Two years later, pollsters witness emerging, untested polling methods that run the risk of […] Read more »