Support for Democratic House candidates has ticked up slightly to 50%, according to a CNN poll conducted by SSRS and released Wednesday. The percentage of voters who said Democrats when asked which party they’ll support in November was up three points since CNN’s May poll, and Democrats have a sizable […] Read more »
Voters More Focused on Control of Congress – and the President – Than in Past Midterms
The congressional elections are more than four months away, but voter engagement is high when compared with comparable points in previous midterm cycles. And a record share of registered voters (68%) say the issue of which party controls Congress will be a factor in their vote in November. … In […] Read more »
California: Poll finds Newsom has a commanding lead over Cox in governor’s race
Democrat Gavin Newsom has a dominant lead over Republican John Cox in California’s race for governor, a contest where a significant number of voters appear to have cast ballots strategically to sway the outcome of the state’s top-two primary, according to a new USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll. CONT. Seema […] Read more »
Women are the wave, but also the wall, for Democrats in 2018
… Polls during Donald Trump’s presidency consistently show a huge gender gap, with women routinely expressing more negative views than men of Trump’s performance, and a greater preference for Democrats in Congress. Big segments of the female population — including African-American, millennial and college-educated white women — are displaying towering […] Read more »
Forget Tax Cuts. Trump Wants to Rally G.O.P. Base Over Immigration
As Republicans try to keep their midterm election strategy focused on the economy, tax cuts and falling unemployment, President Trump sent his clearest signal yet on Monday that he intends to make divisive, racially charged issues like immigration central going into the campaign season. … “People don’t turn out to […] Read more »
Politics Podcast: The (Partisan) Politics Of Immigration
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast looks at the Trump administration’s practice of separating immigrant parents and children at the border and assesses the role that immigration plays in the Republican Party overall. The crew also reacts to the U.S. Supreme Court’s Monday decision on gerrymandering. Finally, the team continues a series […] Read more »