With one day before Election Day, Hillary Clinton has a four percentage-point lead over Donald Trump, according to the final Fox News national pre-election poll of likely voters. She’s ahead by 48-44 percent, while Gary Johnson receives 3 percent and Jill Stein 2 percent. CONT. Dana Blanton, Fox News Read more »
2016 Race Stays at 47-43 Through Sunday
Rolling forward to interviews conducted Thursday through Sunday, the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll shows the same results as its previous estimate of 47 percent for Hillary Clinton and 43 percent for Donald Trump, with Gary Johnson still at 4 percent and Jill Stein now at 1 percent. CONT. Gary […] Read more »
Election Update: The State of The States
The polls are coming in fast and furious — and there are signs of late momentum for Hillary Clinton, whose lead has increased to roughly 3.5 percentage points over Donald Trump. Her chances of winning the Electoral College have ticked up to 69 percent in both the polls-only and polls-plus […] Read more »
Clinton Leads Trump in Bloomberg Poll After Assembling More Diverse Coalition
… The final Bloomberg Politics national poll before Tuesday’s election has Clinton ahead of Trump, 44 percent to 41 percent, when third-party candidates are included. In a two-way contest, she’s also up by three points. Interviews were conducted Friday evening through Sunday afternoon, before FBI Director James Comey announced his […] Read more »
Exit polls under siege
… This year, a handful of different projects are underway to disrupt the rhythm and flow of information on Election Day — including one controversial effort that some worry could affect the actual election results. CONT. Steven Shepard, Politico Read more »
‘Low information voters’ are a crucial part of Trump’s support
… Our research finds that Trump has attracted a disproportionate (and unprecedented) number of “low-information voters” to his campaign. Furthermore, these voters are more likely to respond to emotional appeals — whether about the economy, immigration, Muslims, racial relations, sexism, and even hostility to the first African American U.S. president, […] Read more »