The polls are coming in fast and furious — and there are signs of late momentum for Hillary Clinton, whose lead has increased to roughly 3.5 percentage points over Donald Trump. Her chances of winning the Electoral College have ticked up to 69 percent in both the polls-only and polls-plus models, recovering some of the ground she lost after FBI director James Comey’s letter to Congress on Oct. 28. …
But even if Clinton’s win probability inches up by another percentage point or two, she’ll still be the probable but far-from-certain winner. CONT.
Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight