Veteran Dem pollster Stan Greenberg has long taken the lead in advocating that embattled Dems hew to a “keep and fix” strategy in response to GOP attacks on Obamacare. In an interview with me this morning, he said he saw nothing in the results out of Florida’s 13th district — […] Read more »
GOP May Reap Rewards of Obama’s Unpopularity in Midterms, Poll Finds
President Barack Obama and his Democratic Party are facing difficult political headwinds less than eight months before November’s midterm elections, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. Obama’s job-approval rating has dropped to a low point of 41 percent, never a good position for the party controlling the […] Read more »
The Impact of the Affordable Care Act in the Florida 13th Special Election
From the very start of this election, the biggest challenge facing Alex Sink in the FL-13 special election was the significant party registration advantage for the Republicans among likely voters. The samples for our polls always projected an electorate that would be 11 points more Republican than Democratic – a […] Read more »
Jolly Wins Special, Florida’s 13th Starts as Lean Republican for Midterm
Republican David Jolly eked out a narrow win over Democrat Alex Sink to keep the late congressman Bill Young’s seat in the GOP column. Polls had shown the race close, but most observers expected Sink, who lost the governor’s race narrowly in 2010, to defeat Jolly by two or three […] Read more »
Five Key Data Points: Health Care & the 2014 Mid-Term Elections
1. Health care is second only to the economy and jobs as a vote issue for 2014 (Economy and Jobs – 55%, Health Care – 31%). 2. This survey tells us 2014 could be shaping up to be a Republican year. When voters were asked which party they want to […] Read more »
California Democrats Worry About Voter Turnout as They Gather for Convention
You’d be hard pressed to find a state deeper blue than California. Democrats dominate statewide politics, Jerry Brown seems headed for an easy re-election, and Republicans have had a tough time fielding credible statewide candidates. Yet, as Democrats gather in Los Angeles this weekend for their annual party convention, there […] Read more »