A new survey finds that a strong contingent of Americans still don’t like Obamacare and that intensity is likely to bring out more votes for Republicans than Democrats this fall. Democratic pollster Peter Hart and Republican pollster Bill McInturff, the lead pollsters of the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, presented […] Read more »
Parties Trading Places for 2014
The big takeaway from the 2012 election was the limits of the modern Republican electoral coalition. It increasingly appears that the big takeaway from 2014 will be the limits of the modern Democratic electoral coalition. Each side’s dilemma fits neatly into a bookend. Republicans can’t attract enough minorities to consistently […] Read more »
Fox News poll: 67% would vote out all current lawmakers
Most voters would oust all current members of Congress — including their own senators and representative — if given the opportunity, the latest Fox News poll finds. By a 67-26 percent margin, voters would kick everybody on Capitol Hill to the curb and replace them with new people. That includes […] Read more »
Republicans Place the Wrong Bet
Republicans may have bet too heavily on the wrong issue going into the midterm elections. When the health care law’s website wasn’t working, the law itself was at its most unpopular and its most newsworthy, and the president’s poll numbers were cratering, many Republicans made the calculation that they could […] Read more »
Gov. Cuomo’s Approval Sags, But He Maintains Large Re-Election Lead
Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s job approval rating has slipped, but he remains popular and enjoys a comfortable advantage in his quest for re-election, according to a new poll. Cuomo, a Democrat, holds massive leads over each of three potential Republican challengers: Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino, conservative upstate businessman Carl Paladino […] Read more »
Public’s anti-incumbent mood hasn’t always predicted big electoral swings
The public’s anti-incumbent mood is at record levels, but the vast majority of senators and representatives running for re-election appear to have little to worry about. What’s up with that? CONT. Drew DeSilver, Pew Read more »