Last November on election day McLaughlin & Associates completed our post-election poll. As we all know President Obama was re-elected by as decisive a margin as George W. Bush received in 2004. It was an election where President Obama won the Democratic vote 92% to 7%. Governor Romney won the […] Read more »
Senator Ashley Judd for 2014? I wouldn’t bet on it
… There’s often talk of a midterm penalty in House races, which is the notion that the party in the White House suffers in midterm elections. That rule did not apply so severely in Senate races prior to 1980: the White House’s party gained seats in the 1962 and 1970 […] Read more »
What History Tells Us About Obama’s Second Term
In my line of work, you learn to look for historical patterns, but not to fall prisoner to them. … It’s far too early to make a judgment about the 2014 midterm election, whether it will be another six-year-itch debacle for, in this case, the Democrats, let alone what the […] Read more »
How to Win in 2014
Nearly four months after the election, most everybody seems to agree that something is amiss with the GOP. This consensus has provoked a stream of free advice for how Republicans can get back on their feet. … Helpful political advice should first of all be practical, taking into account what […] Read more »
Red Alert, Part 2 – the Governors
… After applying Star Trek’s “red alert” designation to several Senate seats last week, we’re now looking at the most competitive gubernatorial races. Unlike the Senate races — where at least the seven most competitive seats are all currently held by Democrats — the competitive gubernatorial picture offers a mixed […] Read more »
Can Republicans Win the Senate in 2014?
… Are the conditions favorable enough to make Republicans odds-on favorites to gain six seats and win the Senate majority? Not quite. Six seats are a lot to gain, and Republicans are at risk of nominating subpar candidates in a number of races. But it would not take all that […] Read more »