The supposition that Ohio is the most important state in presidential elections is not always true. … But this year, all the clichés about Ohio are true. In our most recent simulations, Ohio has provided the decisive vote in the Electoral College about 50 percent of the time. [cont.] Nate […] Read more »
Gender Gap in Election Fueled More by Men Than Women
Despite the great attention paid to the importance of the women’s vote in the 2012 election, there has been a larger change in men’s than in women’s preferences compared with 2008. … Obama has lost support among both gender groups compared with 2008, when he won the popular vote by […] Read more »
Romney Ekes Out Bragging Rights; For Obama, Approval Slips Below 50%
Mitt Romney eked out bragging rights in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll, claiming 49 percent support among likely voters vs. Barack Obama’s 48 percent – Romney’s first numerical edge, however slight, since before the party conventions. … Underscoring Obama’s challenges two weeks before Election Day, his job approval […] Read more »
Obama ‘won’ the foreign policy debate. But what does that really mean?
The final presidential debate is in the books. President Barack Obama emerged a clear winner in my and most people’s opinion. Dominating in tone, Obama forced Mitt Romney on the defensive many times throughout the night. Romney, for his part, seemed satisfied to agree with the president rather than challenge […] Read more »
What the Final Debate Means
We asked political veterans for their reactions to the final Obama-Romney debate. The contributors are Mark S. Mellman, Democratic pollster and Mellman Group president; Frank J. Donatelli, former Reagan political director and current GOPAC chairman; Peter Fenn, a democratic political strategist and owner of Fenn Communications Group; David Winston, GOP […] Read more »
WPA’s Election Update: 2 Weeks Out
Sometimes even when you lose, you win. After a debate that has been described by most in the media as a “narrow loss,” Mitt Romney gained ground in all of the major national polls. But, some of the state-by-state polls suggest that Romney still trails in the Electoral College. So […] Read more »