Republican Mitt Romney has edged ahead of President Obama in the new Washington Post-ABC News national tracking poll, with the challenger winning 50 percent of likely voters for the first time in the campaign. … And just as the challenger has leaped ahead on this score, he has effectively neutralized […] Read more »
Will Undecided Voters Tip the Election Against Obama?
… Nationally, about 5 percent of likely voters—between 6 and 7 million people—report that they remain undecided. Despite the extraordinary amount of advertising and candidate time lavished on the swing states, most of them have large pools of uncommitted voters as well—6 percent in Ohio, 5 percent in Florida and […] Read more »
The ‘momentum’ myth
Republicans have been pushing hard this week to convince people that Mitt Romney is wrapping up the presidential election. Since he’s not actually, well, leading, Romney partisans have relied on the idea that Romney has momentum: Even if he isn’t actually ahead yet, he is certain to take a commanding […] Read more »
Viewers Deem Obama Winner of Third Debate, 56% to 33%
Americans who watched the third presidential debate on Oct. 22 are significantly more likely to say Barack Obama did a better job than Mitt Romney, by 56% to 33%. This is the second debate win for Obama. Romney overwhelmingly was seen as the winner of the first debate. … As […] Read more »
Polls: Tightening Relationship Between WH, Senate Battles
New polling out this week underscores the tightening relationship between the state of the presidential race and the battle for control of the Senate. … In recent years, it’s become routine for competitive candidates in Senate races to win over 80 percent of the voters who back their party’s presidential […] Read more »
2012 voters: The deepest racial split since ’88
The 2012 election is shaping up to be more polarized along racial lines than any presidential contest since 1988, with President Obama lagging behind Republican Mitt Romney among white voters by 21 percentage points, a steep drop in support from four years ago. As he did in 2008, Obama gets […] Read more »