Can Biden Turn His Poll Decline Around?

· Leave a Comment

After one year in office and his rehearsed and scripted reset press conference, will President Biden find a political bottom and turn his public opinion decline around? This is the fundamental question for the Biden Democrats for 2022.

They have hardened and unanimously united the Republican base against them. They have alienated and lost the majority of the independent center. Now there is serious erosion in the Democratic base. Without a major course correction, the political fortunes for the Biden Democrats in November are in grave jeopardy.

The results of our just completed national poll of 1,000 likely voters shows that as President Biden’s policies fail, America is in decline, and, with it, the Biden Coalition. CONTINUED

John McLaughlin & Jim McLaughlin, McLaughlin & Associates

The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Democrats Moved the Filibuster Overton Window

· Leave a Comment

Democrats and civil-rights advocates were devastated when Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema blocked a change in Senate rules last night and allowed a Republican filibuster to kill crucial voting-rights legislation.

But for activists, the long battle over voter protections hasn’t been entirely in vain: It’s fundamentally changed the center of gravity in the Democratic Party to the point where those two holdouts are likely to be the last Democrats ever elected to the Senate who support maintaining the filibuster, at least for voting rights. …

If Democrats lose unified control of Congress in November, it’s not clear when they will regain it and the power to implement their new consensus on retrenching the filibuster. But it is clear that Manchin and Sinema are holding to a position that leaves them almost completely isolated in the party. CONTINUED

Ronald Brownstein, The Atlantic

The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Abortion Laws More Unsettling to Americans in 2022

· Leave a Comment

Americans’ satisfaction with the nation’s abortion laws is at a two-decade low of 24%. At the same time, the percentage saying they are dissatisfied because they think the laws should be less strict — broadly speaking, a “pro-choice” position on abortion — is at a new high of 30%. A smaller share of the population, 22%, is dissatisfied because they believe the laws should be stricter. CONTINUED

Lydia Saad, Gallup

The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Biden is ending his first year as president with his lowest approval rating yet

· Leave a Comment

According to this week’s Ipsos’ Core Political, President Joe Biden is ending his first year as president with his lowest approval rating yet, and with nearly two-thirds of Americans believing the country is off on the wrong track. …

President Biden ends his first year as president with just 43% of Americans approving, 12 points lower than when he was inaugurated (55%). CONTINUED

Ipsos

The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Vice President Harris’ approval rating tracks with President Biden’s

· Leave a Comment

Americans appear to be gauging President Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris still very much as a ticket one year into their term: Americans give Vice-President Kamala Harris an approval rating that is the same as Mr. Biden’s, at 44%, and their approval ratings track very much the same across various groups, including among Democrats. People tend to approve or disapprove of them in tandem. CONTINUED

Anthony Salvanto, Jennifer De Pinto & Fred Backus, CBS News

The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Biden approval has sunk most with young Americans and independents

· Leave a Comment

While President Biden’s rating decline over the past year has been broad-based, spanning both political and demographic lines, it has been especially pronounced among younger people and independents. Both groups have voted decisively Democratic in recent years — their continued frustration or disappointment would make the party’s tough path to holding Congress all the more difficult. Regaining their support will be key to whether Mr. Biden sees an approval rebound in time for this year’s midterms. CONTINUED

Kabir Khanna, CBS News

The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack