The New Politics of Evasion: How Ignoring Swing Voters Could Reopen the Door for Donald Trump and Threaten American Democracy

In 1989, in the wake of the Democratic Party’s third consecutive presidential defeat, we offered our thoughts for the party’s recovery and renewal. Our diagnosis was blunt. “Too many Americans,” we wrote, “have come to see the party as inattentive to their economic interests, indifferent if not hostile to their moral sentiments, and ineffective in defense of their national security.” Worse, we argued, too many Democrats were explaining away these problems or denying them outright. Instead of facing reality, they had embraced a “politics of evasion” that ignored electoral reality and impeded needed change.

This was 33 years ago. But recent developments compel us to renew our warning. The resurgence of inflation caught Democrats flat-footed and was initially dismissed, making many Americans wonder whether Democrats were in touch with everyday economic reality. The way the United States left Afghanistan weakened confidence in Democrats’ management of foreign and defense policy, raising the political stakes in Ukraine. And worst of all, too many of the most vocal Democrats have adopted stances on fraught social issues — policing, immigration, public schools, and others — that repel a majority of Americans. The title of veteran political analyst Ronald Brownstein’s recent article told a hard truth: “Democrats are losing the culture war.” And when they lose this war, they lose elections — as they did in Virginia last November. CONTINUED

William A. Galston & Elaine C. Kamarck, Progressive Policy Institute


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Nearly half of Washingtonians don’t like Commanders name

Washington hasn’t warmed up to the Commanders just yet.

According to a citywide Washington Post poll, close to half of D.C. residents have a negative view of the team’s new name, with 32 percent disliking it and 17 percent saying they “hate” it. …

As the Commanders kicked off a new era, the team was met with renewed interest from local officials, who two years earlier dangled a new stadium as a carrot for a name change. …

But when asked about using city funds to help finance a football stadium for the Commanders, 67 percent of D.C. residents said they would oppose it while 30 percent say they would be in favor. CONTINUED

Nicki Jhabvala & Emily Guskin, Washington Post


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Biden Ratings on Economy, Foreign Affairs, Russia Near 40%

Forty-one percent of U.S. adults approve of the job Joe Biden is doing as president, similar to his 40% rating for handling foreign affairs, while approval of his handling the economy and the situation with Russia are slightly lower. Americans give Biden better marks for his response to the coronavirus, but still fewer than half approve. …

Biden’s overall job approval has shown no meaningful improvement since last fall when it declined after the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan. High inflation and the continuing coronavirus pandemic are likely two factors keeping Biden’s approval rating down. CONTINUED

Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

More Americans would rather meet Lincoln than Washington

With President’s Day approaching, we asked Americans who they would prefer to meet if they could travel back in time — George Washington or Abraham Lincoln. As it turns out, there is a clear favorite: Americans would prefer to meet Abraham Lincoln by a measure of almost two to one. CONTINUED

Fred Backus, CBS News


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Black Americans approve of Biden, but not on inflation

Black Americans continue to be among President Biden’s strongest supporters, with two-thirds approving of his job performance. But as with the public overall, the president’s approval ratings among Black Americans fell over the course of 2021 and have not returned to the heights seen at the start of his term.

It’s inflation weighing on his ratings now: most Black Americans disapprove of Mr. Biden’s handling of inflation, specifically — as do Americans overall. Nor do most think he’s focused enough on inflation.

This is even as they give him net positive marks for other issues, for handling the pandemic, and for the economy more generally. CONTINUED

Jennifer De Pinto & Anthony Salvanto, CBS News


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Shifting Covid attitudes lead to political changes

Four weeks ago, in mid-January, the Covid-19 omicron variant was booming, positive rates were hitting record highs and the nation was looking at pictures of overcrowded hospitals. Today virus rates are plummeting and Americans are talking about having to “learn to live” with the virus.

Almost two years into the pandemic, the nation feels as though it has turned a corner on the virus, at least in terms of the attitudes around it. And there may be political ramifications to all the changes. CONTINUED

Dante Chinni, NBC News


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack