NRCC Battleground Congressional District Survey Findings

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The NRCC’s latest battleground survey confirms that Joe Biden and Democrats face an increasingly challenging political environment. Battleground voters continue to hold Democrats responsible for the negative impact that record-high inflation, soaring crime, and the crisis along our southern border are having on their lives. Additionally, these voters overwhelmingly support Republicans who are focused on addressing these issues.

This installment of the NRCC Battleground Survey Project adjusted the battlefield districts to accurately reflect redistricting. The survey looked at voters in 77 battleground congressional districts that will determine control of Congress after the 2022 elections. Joe Biden won these seats in 2020 by five and a half points. CONTINUED — pdf

B.J. Martino & Dave Sackett (Tarrance Group), Rob Autry (Meeting Street Research), David Kanevsky (3D Strategic Research), Patrick Lanne (Public Opinion Strategies), NRCC

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Democrats Are Making Life Too Easy for Republicans

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… The historical pattern of midterm contests suggests that a rejection of the party in power is the customary order of business. But the consequences of a Republican takeover of the House or of both branches of Congress are unlikely to be routine. What we can be sure of is that the Democrats can’t go on forever with this much of a gulf between what the majority of progressive party activists think the party should stand for and what the majority of Americans think it should. CONTINUED

Thomas B. Edsall, New York Times

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A Majority of Americans Thinks Public Schools are on the Wrong Track

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The American public feels what is being taught in public schools is on the wrong track by a greater than 2-to-1 margin – 64% to 24% – according to the newest edition of the Grinnell College National Poll (Grinnell-Selzer). …

Respondents were asked about three issues regarding their trust for educators in public schools. “Teaching about racism in the United States” was the only one for which less than half of respondents indicated trust for educators. Most Americans trust the ability of educators in public schools to make good choices on which library books are appropriate for students (71% to 22%), as well as their ability to respond appropriately when a student poses a risk of doing something violent (69% to 24%). CONTINUED

Grinnell College National Poll

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Ketanji Brown Jackson is viewed favorably by more Americans than current Supreme Court justices

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Americans of both parties expect that Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson will be confirmed as a justice of the United States Supreme Court. If President Joe Biden’s choice is confirmed by the Senate, she could even become the most popular of all the Justices. In the latest Economist/YouGov Poll, she is viewed more positively than any sitting justice was when we last asked. CONTINUED

Kathy Frankovic, Taylor Orth & Carl Bialik, YouGov

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Ipsos Presidential Approval Tracker: A new low for President Biden

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This week’s Ipsos’ Core Political has President Joe Biden receiving the lowest approval rating we’ve seen on our tracker, 40%. The economy and war and foreign conflict remain the top issues. …

President Biden’s approval stands at 40% this week, with the majority of Americans (54%) disapproving of him. Nearly 4 in 5 (77%) Democrats approve of President Biden, but only 27% of independents and 10% of Republicans do. CONTINUED

Ipsos

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Support for policies to aid Ukraine

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Compared to just a month ago, more Americans are now saying the United States should take on a major role in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and concern about Russia’s global influence is increasing. About half of Americans are following news of Russia’s invasion extremely or very closely. And a similar proportion are extremely or very concerned about the possibility of the United States being pulled into a war with Russia.

There is widespread support for sanctions imposed by the United States on Russia, including a ban on importing Russian oil. And when asked about the tradeoff between sanctions on Russia and risks to the U.S. economy, 55% say the bigger priority is sanctioning Russia as effectively as possible, even at the expense of the U.S. economy. CONTINUED

AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research

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