Voters expect the 2022 elections to have serious impacts for the country

With less than a month remaining before Election Day, a majority of registered voters are convinced this November’s midterm elections will significantly impact the country, the economy, and abortion policy, although fewer believe they will be personally affected by the outcome.

Regardless of party identification, more than 8 in 10 registered voters consider voting in November’s midterm elections to be extremely or very important. While majorities of both Democrats and Republicans expect the outcome to impact the country overall and the economy, Democrats are more likely than Republicans to believe the same about abortion policy. CONTINUED

AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Fox News Poll: Only 33% would re-elect Biden, as his approval rating ticks up

With just over two years until the 2024 presidential election, the latest Fox News poll finds that if they were going to the ballot box today, voters would back someone else rather than re-elect President Joe Biden. And although they are skeptical the president has key traits needed to govern, Biden’s approval rating has rebounded as voters feel he’s more bipartisan than Republicans.

The survey of registered voters, released Sunday, finds over half (54%) would vote for someone else in 2024, while a third (33%) would re-elect Biden. In January, 60% chose someone else vs. 36% for Biden. The lowest “re-elect” number for former President Trump was 35% in January 2018, while former President Obama received a low of 39% in September 2010. …

Approval of Biden went up this month, although he remains underwater: 46% approve of the job he’s doing vs. 53% who disapprove. Last month, he was at 43-56%. This is the highest his rating has been since January (47-52%). CONTINUED

Victoria Balara, Fox News


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

How Wisconsin became ground zero for American polarization

The shifts that have remade American politics in recent years can be seen and felt everywhere, but maybe no state tells the story as clearly as Wisconsin. This fall, the state features two elections that are going down to the wire — races for governor and senator — and if recent trends are to be believed, the nation’s sharp partisan divides are likely to be a driving force in both those votes.

It wasn’t always so. For decades, Wisconsin was a battleground, with voters that swung from election to election. It wasn’t uncommon for the state to vote one way in a presidential election and then swing back to vote for the other party when it came to the governor’s mansion. But look at elections over the past few decades in the state and familiar patterns emerge. National trends around race, education and urbanity among voters have made a large impact on Wisconsin’s statewide races. CONTINUED

Dante Chinni, NBC News


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Fox News Poll: Voters want Uncle Sam to ‘Lend me a hand’

There’s been a change in what voters want from Washington.

The latest Fox News survey asks which of two messages voters would send to the federal government: “lend me a hand” or “leave me alone.” A majority of 52% would ask Washington to “lend me a hand,” up from 44% in 2021. The 8-point increase comes mostly from a 19-point jump among Republicans, as views among Democrats held steady. CONTINUED

Dana Blanton, Fox News


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

Fox News Poll: Polarization defines the midterm election

When inflation and crime are voters’ biggest concerns – and the economy and the president are rated negatively – it seems safe to predict the incumbent party will get punished at the ballot box. But political polarization and the Supreme Court overturning Roe vs. Wade may spare Democrats a trouncing in November, as the latest Fox News survey finds the parties evenly matched on size, enthusiasm, and loyalty.

Roughly the same number of voters self-identify as Democrats (42%) and Republicans (41%) and 47% of both parties feel more enthusiastic about voting this year than usual. Plus, party loyalty on the generic House ballot is strong, as 92% of Democrats support their candidate and 91% of Republicans back theirs. Independents prefer the Democrat by 4 points (however, nearly two-thirds are undecided or plan to vote for a third party).

Overall, if the election were today, 44% would back the Democratic candidate in their district and 41% the Republican. That’s unchanged since September, and within the margin of error. CONTINUED

Dana Blanton, Fox News


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack

GOP keeps lead for House control, Democrats’ momentum stalls amid economy worries

For two months the Democrats chipped away at the Republicans’ lead in the battle for House control, helped by motivated abortion-rights voters and what turned out to be fleeting glimmers of optimism about the economy. But that momentum has stalled, at least for now, and the Republicans’ House lead has stabilized today at 224 seats to the Democrats’ 211. The Republicans’ lead had shrunk in the two previous model runs of September and August. CONTINUED

CBS News


The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack