To avoid the worst-case scenario in November, Democrats must defy one of the most powerful trends shaping modern congressional elections. Recent polls have provided them a glimmer of optimism that they might do just that. That trend is the tightening correlation between voters’ attitudes toward a president and their support […] Read more »
President Biden’s Approval Rating Bounces In July — But Not Among This Key Group
President Joe Biden’s approval rating is seeing a modest rebound in July after sinking to the lowest point of his presidency, but his standing among independents has never been lower, the new IBD/TIPP Poll finds. … Including the full survey group, 40% of American adults approve how Biden is handling […] Read more »
As Latino voters shift right, here’s where Democrats will be hit hardest
The Democrats have a Latino voter problem. The remarkable recent shift of Latino voters toward the Republican Party has been broad and significant, though the full story — will it prove “transitory,” to use a word infamously associated with President Biden’s struggles? — is still developing. … So if Democrats […] Read more »
Broad Public Approval of New Gun Law, but Few Say It Will Do a Lot To Stem Gun Violence
Americans are largely supportive of the new gun law passed by Congress and signed into law by President Joe Biden on June 25. Nearly two-thirds of U.S. adults (64%) approve of the new gun law, including 32% who strongly approve. Just 21% say they disapprove of the law, including 11% […] Read more »
Voters’ Eagerness to Reelect Incumbents Near Lows
A slim majority of U.S. registered voters, 53%, say their representative in Congress deserves reelection, while 41% disagree. The percentage endorsing reelection is similar to what Gallup has measured in its final preelection reading in most recent midterm election years, ranging from 50% in 2018 to 54% in 2006 — […] Read more »
Most Democrats Don’t Want Biden in 2024, New Poll Shows
President Biden is facing an alarming level of doubt from inside his own party, with 64 percent of Democratic voters saying they would prefer a new standard-bearer in the 2024 presidential campaign, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll, as voters nationwide have soured on his leadership, giving him […] Read more »