Senate Rating Changes: Arizona, Pennsylvania to Leans Democratic

Key Points• We are moving the Senate races in Arizona and Pennsylvania from Toss-up to Leans Democratic on account of candidate weaknesses for Republicans in both states and what appears to be a not-as-bleak environment for Democrats.• The overall race for the Senate remains a Toss-up, with 49 seats at […] Read more »

Consumer Confidence Improved in August

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® increased in August, following three consecutive monthly declines. The Index now stands at 103.2 (1985=100), up from 95.3 in July. The Present Situation Index—based on consumers’ assessment of current business and labor market conditions—improved to 145.4 from 139.7 last month. The Expectations Index—based on […] Read more »

Approval of Labor Unions at Highest Point Since 1965

Seventy-one percent of Americans now approve of labor unions. Although statistically similar to last year’s 68%, it is up from 64% before the pandemic and is the highest Gallup has recorded on this measure since 1965. CONTINUED Justin McCarthy, Gallup The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new […] Read more »

From a Republican ‘tsunami’ to a ‘puddle’: Why the forecast for November is changing

It was a referendum. Now it’s a choice. For political professionals in both parties, that’s the capsule explanation for why the Democratic position in the midterm elections appears to have improved so much since summer began. When the election looked to be primarily a referendum on the performance of the […] Read more »