A critical group of swing voters was asked to give a brief, one-word description of the emotions they feel upon seeing President Biden. The answers were bleak: “Indifferent … mixed to indifferent … bored … ambivalent … frustrated … flabbergasted … lost.” Then the same voters, who had cast ballots […] Read more »
Iowa Poll: Chuck Grassley narrowly leads Mike Franken in US Senate race
Republican U.S. Sen. Chuck Grassley’s lead over Democrat Mike Franken has narrowed to 3 percentage points with less than a month until Election Day, signaling Grassley’s toughest reelection fight in 40 years. A new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows Grassley leads with 46% of the vote to Franken’s 43% […] Read more »
Will America’s Most Pilloried Pollster Get It Right Again?
In 2016, the first year of its existence, the Trafalgar Group was one of the few polling outfits to predict that Donald Trump would beat Hillary Clinton. In 2020, Trafalgar incorrectly predicted another Trump win but accurately depicted the race as neck and neck in places like Wisconsin, where many […] Read more »
Democrats’ lead with Hispanic voters is smaller than in 2018, Post-Ipsos poll finds
Hispanic voters favor Democrats in November’s congressional elections, but by a smaller margin than four years ago, with inflation concerns and President Biden’s middling approval ratings helping Republicans hold onto gains made in 2020, a Washington Post-Ipsos poll finds. Hispanic and Latino voters rank rising prices as the most important […] Read more »
Why Politics Has Become So Stressful
No matter which party wins control of the House and Senate next month, the results are virtually certain to reinforce the paradox powering the nation’s steadily mounting political tension. American politics today may be both more rigid and more unstable than at any other time since at least the Civil […] Read more »
Eight in 10 Americans Favor Early Voting, Photo ID Laws
With the midterm elections less than a month away, large majorities of Americans favor three measures meant to make voting easier: early voting (78% in favor), automatic voter registration (65%) and sending absentee ballots to all eligible voters (60%). Majorities of Americans also oppose two measures that could make voting […] Read more »