The Democrats have lost ground in this survey from +3 overall margin to even in this survey — and to -2 in the likely electorate. That is driven by Democrats not addressing the top issue, cost of living, where they lost 3 points to be 3 points down and Republicans […] Read more »
Voters’ message to next Congress: Be more effective, fix the economy
“Be more effective” and “fix the economy” were two of the leading messages voters surveyed in a new NBC News poll said when asked to send a message to candidates who will be elected in November’s midterm elections. Voters were allowed to give open-ended responses, which pollsters then categorized into […] Read more »
Americans Less Optimistic About Next Generation’s Future
Americans have as little optimism as they have had at any time in nearly three decades about young people’s chances of having greater material success in life than their parents. In all, 42% of U.S. adults think it is very (13%) or somewhat (29%) likely that today’s youth “will have […] Read more »
There are a ton of midterm election polls. Here’s a guide for how to read them.
Pre-election polls came in for a drubbing following the 2020 election after underestimating former president Donald Trump’s vote margin by about five percentage points, the highest error in at least 20 years according to the American Association for Public Opinion Research. One possible cause of 2020 errors was something the […] Read more »
Biden Job Approval Back Down to 40%
President Joe Biden’s job approval rating is 40%, a step down from the 44% measured in August but still above his term-low 38% from July. In all other months in 2022, his approval rating has been in the 40% to 42% range. The Oct. 3-20 survey finds 56% of Americans […] Read more »
Pennsylvania Senate contest narrows
The party bases are consolidating around their candidates in the Pennsylvania Senate race, now a toss-up contest with Lt. Gov. John Fetterman ahead by two points heading into their debate Tuesday night. He led by five points a month ago. To the extent there is attitudinal change, it’s partly driven […] Read more »