The economy is not the singular, overriding factor that decides American elections — and it really never was. It’s not just “the economy, stupid.” … Even before most Americans have voted, there is already commentary that Democrats have lost this year’s elections because the party has focused too much on […] Read more »
Senate Control Hinges on Neck-and-Neck Races, Times/Siena Poll Finds
Control of the Senate rests on a knife’s edge, according to new polls by The New York Times and Siena College, with Republican challengers in Nevada and Georgia neck-and-neck with Democratic incumbents, and the Democratic candidate in Pennsylvania clinging to what appears to be a tenuous advantage. The bright spot […] Read more »
Brazil’s polls were off during the first round. Now the right wants to criminalize them.
In the first round of Brazil’s closely watched elections this month, the polls significantly underestimated the support for President Jair Bolsonaro and other conservative candidates across the country. Many on the right were furious, criticizing the pollsters as out of touch with the Brazilian electorate. Now, at the urging of […] Read more »
Three in five registered voters believe abortion should be legal
About three in five registered voters believe abortion should be legal in all or most cases, and a plurality would be more likely to support a candidate for elected office who favors keeping abortion legal and available, according to a new ABC News/Ipsos poll. However, the economy and inflation remain […] Read more »
Economy and inflation top public’s agenda going into midterm elections
About half of Americans say either the economy or inflation is the most important issue in their vote for Congress, making pocketbook issues by far the most dominant in the run up to the midterm elections, according to a new ABC News/Ipsos poll. Taken individually, 26% identify the economy as […] Read more »
Young voters, key to Democratic midterm success, show lower enthusiasm than in 2018
The 2022 elections are a little more than a week away and if Democrats are going to defy the usual pattern of midterms (big losses for the party in power), they are going to need some parts of the electorate to turn out more than expected. One group near the […] Read more »