The political environment for the 2022 midterm elections should work to the benefit of the Republican Party, with all national mood indicators similar to, if not worse than, what they have been in other years when the incumbent party fared poorly in midterms. Heading into Election Day, 40% of Americans […] Read more »
Gas prices could decide the midterms. Here’s why
Midterm election results may come down to the price of a gallon of gas. Roughly half of Americans say either the economy or inflation is the most important issue in their vote for Congress, making bread-and-butter financial issues by far the most dominant in the lead-up to the midterm elections, […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Arizona races tighten as support for Republican candidates increases
With a week until Election Day, the latest Fox News poll finds close contests in the Grand Canyon State’s Senate and governor’s races, although more Republicans than Democrats are enthusiastic about heading to the ballot box. The survey of Arizona registered voters, released Tuesday, shows Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly with […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Johnson holds edge over Barnes in Wisconsin Senate race
President Biden won Wisconsin by less than one percentage point in 2020, and the state remains closely divided. Both Democratic Gov. Tony Evers and Republican Sen. Ron Johnson are in tough fights to keep their jobs, according to a new Fox News survey of Wisconsin voters. In the Senate race, […] Read more »
4 reasons to be skeptical about election polling
Pollsters should worry that their profession might soon be regarded as more like astrology than political science. Reasons to take polls with a large grain of salt abound. First, the nagging sense that pollsters are “missing” MAGA voters remains, as was the case during both the 2016 and 2020 elections. […] Read more »
In Close, Crucial Governor’s Races, Poll Finds Sharp Split on Elections
Republicans are running dead even or slightly ahead in races for governor that could change the future of elections in Arizona and end Democrats’ hold on Nevada, according to new polling of four key battleground states from The New York Times and Siena College. … In all four states, the […] Read more »