American politics has been a stalemate between the two parties for nearly 30 years. Every time it looks as though one party gains a lasting upper hand — Democrats after 2008 and 2020, Republicans after 1994 and 2010 — its legislative overreach sends it back to parity. Tuesday’s midterm elections […] Read more »
New Hampshire: Senate & CD1 Too Close to Call
New Hampshire Democratic Senator Maggie Hassan and her Republican opponent, Don Bolduc, are neck-and-neck only days away from Tuesday’s election. In New Hampshire’s First Congressional District, incumbent Democrat Chris Pappas and Republican Karoline Leavitt are also deadlocked. Incumbent Democrat Ann Kuster holds a small lead over Republican Robert Burns in […] Read more »
Swing voters are America’s unpredictable powerhouse
Swing voters often determine who wins national elections — but they don’t swing for the reasons that much of the media and many politicians imply. … What’s actually going on with swing voters? Based on previous election cycles and scholarly research, here are four ways to think about them: Swing […] Read more »
A spiral of violence and fear is creating angst for many voters ahead of the midterm elections
Armed men in masks and tactical gear have shown up at secure ballot drop boxes. Candidates of both parties have been physically attacked, election workers intimidated. And threats against members of Congress are up tenfold. For many voters, a vicious spiral of violence and fear is creating angst, paranoia and […] Read more »
Democrats catch up to GOP on enthusiasm in final NBC News poll before midterms
The final national NBC News poll of the 2022 midterms finds a highly competitive campaign landscape ahead of Election Day. While Democrats have pulled even with Republicans in enthusiasm, President Joe Biden remains unpopular, and voters express deep dissatisfaction about the state of the country. Forty-eight percent of likely voters […] Read more »
Why 2022 may bring a new peak of political instability
All year, the principal question looming over the 2022 campaign has been whether Democrats could defy political gravity. As we’re nearing the end, the answer appears to be: no, or at least not entirely. Midterm elections have almost always been bad for the party holding the White House, and they […] Read more »