The next front is rapidly emerging in the struggle between supporters and opponents of legal abortion, and that escalating conflict is increasing the chances that the issue will shape the 2024 election as it did last November’s midterm contest. President Joe Biden triggered the new confrontation with a flurry of […] Read more »
Trump and His Allegedly Disloyal White Evangelical Supporters
In a recent interview, David Brody of the Christian Broadcasting Network asked former president Donald Trump what he thought about the reticence of some white evangelical Protestant leaders, such as Southern Baptist megachurch pastor Robert Jeffress, to endorse his candidacy for president in 2024. Trump caused quite a stir by […] Read more »
What Does Threat to Democracy Mean To Swing Voters?
On the eve of the midterm elections last fall, President Biden delivered a speech in which he argued that the central issue for 2022 was the threat to our democracy. Many pundits, and even some high-profile Democrats, criticized Biden’s messaging. After all, poll after poll showed that the economy and […] Read more »
Republican voters think DeSantis would be more likely to beat Biden, but prefer Trump
Republican voters think that Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has a slight edge over former President Donald Trump in a hypothetical election match-up against President Joe Biden, according to new polling by the Economist/YouGov. In a Trump vs. Biden match-up, registered voters give Biden a 4 percentage-point lead: 42% of registered […] Read more »
2024 Governors Races: A First Look
Key Points• North Carolina’s open-seat race is clearly the marquee contest of 2024’s gubernatorial races. It starts as a Toss-up.• The other contests start with clear favorites despite several open seats.• If popular Republican incumbents run for another term, the GOP should be in great shape to hold New Hampshire […] Read more »
Why Debt-Ceiling Brinkmanship Feels Different This Time
Business, community, and government leaders are growing increasingly alarmed that the populist and ideologically conservative House Republicans may endanger Congress’ ability to approve an increase in the federal debt ceiling, a move crucial to avoiding the nation’s first-ever default and a calamity in the financial markets. The federal public debt […] Read more »