There are a lot of ways to understand the 2024 GOP primary electorate, but the most crucial split may be the one between Republican voters who believe Donald Trump actually won the 2020 presidential race and Republican voters who, correctly, acknowledge the former president lost his reelection bid.
A new NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll finds likely caucusgoers in Iowa are fairly closely divided on the outcome of the 2020 race and there are sharp differences between the electorate that still believes Trump won and the electorate that accepts that Trump lost.
Despite the former president’s solid lead in most primary polls and his unwavering public stance that the election was “stolen” from him, only a slim majority of likely Iowa caucus voters believe Trump actually won the White House in 2020. CONTINUED
Dante Chinni, NBC News
The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack