Key Points
• The spending decisions by big outside House groups can inform us about the most competitive House races.
• So far, outside groups have spent money in 57 House districts. The lion’s share of those districts that have seen spending are held by Democrats, indicating that Democrats are playing significantly more defense than Republicans.
• The vast majority of the districts we rate as the most competitive — those in the Toss-up or Leans categories — have seen at least some outside spending so far. CONTINUED
Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s Crystal Ball
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