Six Decades of Regional Change in House Elections

Key Points
• The Greater South used to be the key cog in Democratic House majorities; now it is the region that allows Republicans to win majorities.
• Democrats’ dominance on the West Coast and Northeast have allowed them to win majorities even as they have fallen further behind in the Greater South.
• The Republican edge in the Greater South should only grow in 2022. CONTINUED

Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s Crystal Ball

Percentage of House seats won by Democrats by region, 1964-2020


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