This past May, I wrote a piece positing that the generic Congressional vote averages from surveys taken roughly until Memorial Day of the year preceding an election are not reliable indicators of a party’s performance in that election. Seven months later – and now less than 11 months from Election Day – I thought it would be appropriate to attempt to read the 2018 tea leaves with an eye toward the likelihood of a Democratic wave. CONT.
Kyle Clark, Public Opinion Strategies
Recent polls: Generic congressional ballot