Focus groups find early breakthrough moment in off-years

America has been roiled by the election of Donald Trump and total Republican control of the federal government. Will it be roiled again by a wave election in the coming off-year elections? That would require engaged and consolidated anti-Trump voters, demoralized Trump supporters and independent voters reacting against Trump and […] Read more »

Moving to scale to win on health care

The humiliating retreat of President Trump and Speaker Ryan on the Obamacare replacement was a powerful moment for working class women, financially pressed unmarried women, millennials, and minorities – both the Clinton and Trump voters. Based on the findings of just-completed focus groups with these key voters, the Republican failure […] Read more »

Off-Year Governors Races Look Challenging for GOP

Gubernatorial contests in Virginia and New Jersey will get plenty of attention this year, in part because of Donald Trump’s victory and the developing divisions in the two major parties. … The results are likely to be over-interpreted, as they usually are, but that doesn’t mean that they won’t offer […] Read more »

The Poll Numbers That Show Why Mitch McConnell Is Sounding the Alarm

… As the Donald Trump campaign implodes, Mr. McConnell could not care less about his party’s presidential nominee. The thing he cares about is making sure that Republicans focus on supporting his Senate colleagues Kelly Ayotte (N.H.), Richard Burr (N.C.), Ron Johnson (Wis.), Rob Portman (Ind.), Pat Toomey (Pa.), and […] Read more »