Trump’s contradictory coalition roils elections in Virginia, Georgia

It’s been two years and a day since President Trump announced his candidacy for the top office — and the Republican Party hasn’t been the same since. Trump upended the traditional GOP politics, and his presidency offers near-daily evidence of strains within the party that aren’t going away anytime soon. […] Read more »

‘Trump Effect’ is seismic for both Democrats, GOP in Virginia primary

The polarizing presidency of Donald Trump shook both parties in the Virginia gubernatorial primary Tuesday and ensured that the “Trump effect” in politics will be a dominant theme in the race in November. Hostility to Trump spurred strong turnout among Democrats, raising their hopes that primary winner Lt. Gov. Ralph […] Read more »

A Democratic Donnybrook in the Old Dominion?

With the Virginia primary less than a week away, the eyes of the political world are now focused on the Old Dominion. Considering the early polling in New Jersey’s gubernatorial general election contest, where Phil Murphy (D) starts as the favorite over Lt. Gov. Kim Guadagno (R) after both won […] Read more »

Democrats argue way back to power is through small towns won by Trump

… Throughout the last decade, Democrats pursued what was considered to be the most efficient strategy of winning in presidential and Senate contests — turning to technocrats who knew how to find their most loyal voters in cities and suburbs and drive up turnout from their base. It helped Barack […] Read more »

Focus groups find early breakthrough moment in off-years

America has been roiled by the election of Donald Trump and total Republican control of the federal government. Will it be roiled again by a wave election in the coming off-year elections? That would require engaged and consolidated anti-Trump voters, demoralized Trump supporters and independent voters reacting against Trump and […] Read more »

Moving to scale to win on health care

The humiliating retreat of President Trump and Speaker Ryan on the Obamacare replacement was a powerful moment for working class women, financially pressed unmarried women, millennials, and minorities – both the Clinton and Trump voters. Based on the findings of just-completed focus groups with these key voters, the Republican failure […] Read more »

Off-Year Governors Races Look Challenging for GOP

Gubernatorial contests in Virginia and New Jersey will get plenty of attention this year, in part because of Donald Trump’s victory and the developing divisions in the two major parties. … The results are likely to be over-interpreted, as they usually are, but that doesn’t mean that they won’t offer […] Read more »