Six Decades of Regional Change in House Elections

Key Points• The Greater South used to be the key cog in Democratic House majorities; now it is the region that allows Republicans to win majorities.• Democrats’ dominance on the West Coast and Northeast have allowed them to win majorities even as they have fallen further behind in the Greater […] Read more »

The Evangelical Church Is Breaking Apart

… The aggressive, disruptive, and unforgiving mindset that characterizes so much of our politics has found a home in many American churches. As a person of the Christian faith who has spent most of my adult life attending evangelical churches, I wanted to understand the splintering of churches, communities, and […] Read more »

What Democrats Need to Understand About the Changing Electorate

Follow the sun. That’s the advice to Democrats from a leading party fundraising organization in an exhaustive analysis of the electoral landscape released today. The study, from the group Way to Win, provided exclusively to The Atlantic, argues that to solidify their position in Congress and the Electoral College, Democrats […] Read more »

‘Breaking point’: Why the red state/blue city conflict is peaking over masks

Political and population trends are colliding as the steadily escalating tension between red states and their blue cities across the Sun Belt is reaching a breaking point over the volatile issue of school masking. For more than a decade, GOP governors and Republican-controlled legislatures in states from Florida and Georgia […] Read more »

Redistricting in America, Part Two: The Dark Red Greater South

Key Points• Republicans dominate redistricting in a number of small-to-medium-sized states in the Deep South and Greater Appalachia.• The GOP also already holds the lion’s share of seats in these states, but they may be able to squeeze a bit more out of them.• Democrats are hoping the courts could […] Read more »

Why the Sun Belt may pick the next president

The battleground states across the industrial Midwest have functioned as the decisive tipping point of American politics for at least 30 years, especially in presidential elections. But the latest Census Bureau findings on both overall population growth and voter turnout in 2020 signal that the Sun Belt will increasingly rival, […] Read more »