Donald Trump did not win 34% of Latino vote in Texas. He won much less.

Ever since the national exit poll reported that 29 percent of Hispanics voted for Trump, the accuracy of that number has been debated. In particular, some have questioned whether it is an overestimate, citing a separate survey of Latino voters by the polling firm Latino Decisions that reported that 18 percent of Hispanics voted for Trump.

Now, analysis of precinct data from Texas and several other states suggests that, indeed, the exit poll overestimated how many Latinos voted for Trump. CONT.

Francisco I. Pedraza (UC Riverside) & Bryan Wilcox-Archuleta (UCLA), The Monkey Cage