This survey, the second Resurgent Republic survey in this election cycle, polled 1000 likely 2014 voters in twelve U.S. Senate battleground states, with respondents evenly distributed among the states just as U.S. Senate seats are distributed. …
The political environment in these twelve states tilts strongly toward the Republicans. Several factors create that Republican tilt:
1. President Obama is remarkably unpopular in these states, more unpopular than he is nationally. Only 38 percent of the voters in these states approve of the job the President is doing, while 58 percent disapprove. Disapproval among Independent voters is almost two-to-one, at 33 percent approve and 63 percent disapprove. Presidential job approval has historically loomed large over midterm elections, and 2014 looks like no exception. CONT.
Whit Ayres & Dan Judy, North Star Opinion Research