In House, Tough to Move Needle in 2014

With the debt ceiling/government shutdown standoff over, attention has turned to the question of who won and who lost, and what it means for 2014. On the first question, most public opinion polls have offered an easy answer: The Republican Party took the biggest hit. The answer to the second question, however, is more complicated. …

To figure out how optimistic Democrats should now be, Politics Counts went back and looked at that same “congressional control” poll question in recent years and then compared it with what happened on Election Day. The results don’t seem to portend large-scale change, at least not now. [cont.]

Dante Chinni, Wall Street Journal

Recent polls: U.S. House: Generic ballot